AGP Executive Report

Peace Talks: Prime Minister Kamil Idris and Arab League chief Nabil Fahmy discussed support for Sudan’s peace initiative and an inclusive, Sudanese-led national dialogue. Russia Ties: Abdel Fattah al-Burhan left for Moscow to attend the Russia-Africa summit and is expected to meet Vladimir Putin as Sudan seeks cooperation on reconstruction and other sectors. Civilian Toll: A drone strike hit a market in Nyala, killing 21 and wounding at least 40; separate RSF strikes on power stations caused widespread outages. UN chief António Guterres called the conflict a war against civilians and urged protection and unimpeded aid. Famine Risk: The US, UK, EU and 28 other countries warned that 19.5 million people face acute food insecurity and urged the warring parties to allow humanitarian access. Accountability: The UK sanctioned 15 Sudanese commanders over alleged wartime sexual violence and attacks on civilians. UN Leadership: Rights monitors challenged UAE diplomat Lana Nusseibeh’s bid to become UN secretary-general, citing her defence of Emirati policy and denials of the UAE’s role in supporting the RSF.

Famine Warning: The US, UK, Canada and more than two dozen partners warn famine risk is rising, with 19.5 million people facing acute food insecurity. They urge Sudan’s warring parties to remove barriers to aid. Accountability: The UK sanctioned 15 commanders from the RSF and Sudanese Armed Forces over alleged atrocities, including rape and attacks on civilians, and pledged £15 million for humanitarian aid and survivors. Critical Infrastructure: RSF drone strikes hit five power stations in Al-Jazira, Gedaref and White Nile, causing widespread outages and threatening essential services. El Fasher: A year after the RSF seized the city, Amnesty reports civilians still face unlawful killings, detention, torture and restricted aid. UN Leadership Dispute: Sudan’s UN mission urged states to reject Emirati diplomat Lana Nusseibeh’s bid for secretary-general, accusing her of shielding the UAE from allegations of backing the RSF; the UAE denies involvement.

Accountability: The UK sanctioned 15 commanders and officials from both Sudanese military factions over alleged sexual violence, torture and attacks on civilians linked to El Fasher’s fall. London also pledged £15 million in humanitarian and survivor support. Infrastructure Under Fire: RSF drone strikes hit five power substations, cutting electricity across Sennar, Gedaref, White Nile and Gezira states. The outages threaten essential services, including safe storage of medicines. Civilian Toll: UN human rights chief Volker Türk said drone attacks killed at least 306 people in Sudan during the first three weeks of October, as strikes by both sides hit homes, markets, hospitals and displacement sites. Peace and Hunger: Diplomats met in Geneva to coordinate efforts to end the war, with 27 delegations involved, while a UK-led warning said famine risk is rising as 19.5 million people face acute hunger.

Drone Attacks: UN human rights chief Volker Türk said at least 306 people were killed in Sudanese drone strikes in the first three weeks of October. Attacks attributed to both the SAF and RSF hit homes, markets, hospitals and displacement sites. UN Leadership Contest: UAE diplomat Lana Nusseibeh has emerged as a frontrunner for UN secretary-general, drawing criticism over allegations that the UAE supports the RSF—claims Abu Dhabi denies. Peace Efforts: Talks involving 21 countries in Geneva backed confidence-building steps, including prisoner exchanges, and a push for a humanitarian truce; participants said there is no military solution. UN chief António Guterres also met Arab League leaders in Cairo to discuss Sudan and regional de-escalation. Humanitarian Crisis: A UK-led warning says 19.5 million people face acute hunger, with drought risks adding to famine concerns. War and Accountability: Sudan’s army said it retook a strategic base in Blue Nile, while Amnesty reported unlawful killings, detention and torture in El Fasher a year after RSF forces captured the city.

Diplomacy: Sudan’s finance minister delivered a message from Abdel Fattah al-Burhan to Oman’s sultan, as the two sides reviewed bilateral ties. UN chief António Guterres also held talks in Cairo on Sudan and regional de-escalation. War and civilian toll: A BBC investigation found evidence that RSF fighters deliberately targeted hospitals, while Amnesty International reported unlawful killings, detention and torture in El Fasher a year after its capture. The Sudanese army says it has retaken a strategic base in Blue Nile. Peace efforts: Geneva consultations brought 27 delegations together to coordinate a path toward peace; a UN envoy said there is no military solution, despite continued fighting and drone attacks. Humanitarian crisis: The UN warned that El Niño-driven drought is raising the risk of famine as soaring fuel prices deepen hardship. Regional stakes: Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi said Egypt’s water security cannot be compromised, while voicing support for Nile cooperation that serves Egypt, Sudan and Ethiopia.

Diplomacy: UN chief António Guterres arrived in Egypt for talks on Sudan and regional de-escalation, urging an end to widening conflicts and more space for peace efforts. El Fasher: Amnesty International says civilians remain at risk of unlawful killings, torture and arbitrary detention a year after the RSF seized the city; fewer than 70,000 people remain, down from more than one million before the war. Economic Pressure: Fuel shortages and rising prices are cutting into workers’ earnings, with drivers in Port Sudan spending hours queuing and struggling to cover household costs. Fighting: The Sudanese army says it has retaken strategic bases in Blue Nile, while Sudan has accused the RSF of drone attacks on service facilities and fuel stations in North Kordofan. The Red Cross and UN officials warn that aerial attacks are causing mounting civilian harm. Hunger Risk: UN agencies and aid groups warn that El Niño-driven drought could deepen Sudan’s food crisis and bring renewed famine risk.

Civilian Crisis: Amnesty says fewer than 70,000 people remain in El Fasher, where residents report unlawful killings, torture and arbitrary detention a year after the RSF seized the city. Fuel shortages and rising prices are also squeezing Sudanese workers, with drivers losing hours in queues and income to keep vehicles running. Battlefield: The Sudanese army says it has retaken the Bakori military base and another area in Blue Nile after clashes with the RSF and allied forces. Peace Efforts: Sudan talks in Geneva drew 27 delegations, as diplomats pushed for a coordinated path to end the war; a joint warning also highlighted renewed famine risks as El Niño-driven drought threatens food supplies. International Scrutiny: UAE diplomat Lana Nusseibeh’s bid to lead the UN is drawing questions over allegations that Abu Dhabi supports the RSF, which the UAE denies.

Civilian Toll: UN rights chief Volker Türk says at least 306 people were killed in drone strikes across Sudan in the first three weeks of October, with attacks blamed on both the army and the RSF hitting homes, markets, hospitals and other civilian sites. Sudanese authorities separately accused the RSF of striking service facilities and fuel stations in North Kordofan. El Fasher: Amnesty International says only about 70,000 people remain in the city, down from more than a million displaced people there last year, amid reports of killings, detention and torture. A BBC investigation documented at least 43 attacks on hospitals and health sites during the siege and takeover; the RSF disputes the findings. Famine Risk: Aid groups warn that 19.5 million people face acute food insecurity, including five million at emergency levels. Drought linked to El Niño and restrictions on aid are worsening the crisis. Peace Efforts: UN-backed consultations in Geneva brought together 27 delegations, while the UN envoy says diplomacy is intensifying and there is no military solution to the war.

Drone Attacks: Sudanese authorities accused the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) of striking service facilities and fuel stations in Al-Rahad and Umm Rawaba, North Kordofan, seeking to disrupt basic services; they reported no casualties. El-Fasher Atrocities: A BBC investigation documented at least 43 attacks on hospitals and healthcare sites during the RSF siege and takeover, which the force denies; the UN human rights chief said the reported attacks may amount to war crimes. Peace Efforts: Delegates at UN-backed talks in Geneva said there is no military solution to the war and urged an urgent humanitarian truce, an end to foreign interference and renewed negotiations. Famine Risk: Drought linked to El Niño has brought Sudan its lowest peak-season rainfall in decades, threatening harvests and worsening hunger as aid agencies warn they lack funds to meet growing needs.

Civilian Protection: The ICRC says drone attacks on homes, markets and displacement sites have killed hundreds in recent weeks, warning that the laws of war still apply. The African Union has called for an immediate humanitarian ceasefire. Peace Efforts: UN- and Swiss-hosted Geneva talks have sought to coordinate Sudan peace initiatives, but produced no ceasefire; proposed steps include detainee exchanges and allowing students to sit exams wherever they live. Blue Nile Fighting: Sudan’s army says it has retaken the strategic Bakori base and nearby Ouklili from forces allied with the RSF. Darfur Abuses: A BBC investigation found at least 43 attacks on El Fasher health facilities during the siege and takeover; Amnesty says residents who escaped report unlawful killings, torture and detention a year after the RSF captured the city. Economic Pressure: Burhan lifted import restrictions on 46 goods as the dollar climbed to SDG 10,300 and annual inflation reached 28.29% in September.

Battlefield: Sudan’s army says it has retaken the strategic Bakori base and Ouklili area in Blue Nile State from the RSF, as fighting continues across the region. Civilian Protection: The Red Cross warns that drone and other aerial attacks are causing rising civilian casualties, striking homes, markets and displacement sites. Peace Efforts: UN- and Swiss-backed Geneva consultations ended without a ceasefire, but diplomats are coordinating initiatives and exploring detainee exchanges and ways for students to sit exams. The UN envoy says some parties still believe they can win militarily. Political Legitimacy: Rallies in West Darfur voiced support for the RSF-linked Tasis administration, underscoring competing claims to authority as the war grinds on. Economic Strain: The Sudanese pound has fallen to a record low of 10,000 to the US dollar, deepening pressure on households already facing shortages and soaring prices.

Peace Efforts: UN and Swiss officials brought 27 delegations together in Geneva, but Sudan’s army and the RSF were absent. The UN envoy said there is no military solution and floated prisoner exchanges and help for students as confidence-building steps. Civilian Toll: Drone attacks have killed scores across Sudan, with reports of more than 160 deaths and children among those killed near Khartoum airport. Economic Crisis: The pound hit a record 10,000 to the US dollar on the parallel market as war disrupts trade and drives up import costs. Regional Concerns: An open-source tracker reported a UAE cargo plane at Asosa, Ethiopia, near Sudan’s border, but its cargo could not be independently confirmed.

Peace Efforts: UN and Swiss-led talks opened in Geneva with 27 delegations seeking practical steps toward de-escalation and a ceasefire. Neither Sudan’s army nor the RSF attended, while mediators urged an inclusive, Sudanese-led process. Drone War: More than 160 people have reportedly been killed in recent drone strikes across Sudan. Attacks near Khartoum airport have disrupted flights and raised safety concerns; the UN condemned strikes on civilians and infrastructure. Economic Crisis: The Sudanese pound fell to a record 10,000 per US dollar on the parallel market, deepening hardship as war disrupts production and gold is smuggled abroad. Border Tensions: Satellite analysis placed a deadly October 10 strike on gold miners in the disputed Halayeb Triangle, controlled by Egypt. At least 72 people were reported killed, with hundreds still missing. US Protections: Sudanese migrants in the United States will keep temporary deportation protection for now, though the administration has not confirmed a renewal.

Drone War: More than 160 people were reported killed in Sudanese drone strikes, including 80 near a West Kordofan market and four in Khartoum, among them three children. The UN condemned the deadly wave as attacks spread across Darfur, Kordofan and the capital. Battlefield: Sudan’s army says it repelled an RSF ground attack in Blue Nile and intercepted drones over Khartoum, as fighting continues without a political settlement. Gold and War Finance: At least 72 miners were reportedly killed in an airstrike near the Egyptian border. Sudanese rights group Emergency Lawyers blamed Egypt’s military; Cairo said it targeted illegal miners inside Egyptian territory. Gold remains a key source of revenue for both sides, while sanctions are often evaded through opaque business networks. Regional Risks: The UN warns Sudan’s war is worsening insecurity along the Central African Republic border, complicating plans to reduce peacekeeping forces.

Drone War: More than 100 people have been reported killed in drone strikes across Sudan since Sunday. The deadliest hit a transport hub near a West Kordofan market, where residents said 80 people died; other attacks struck Khartoum and Darfur, killing civilians including children. The UN condemned the escalating attacks. Blue Nile Front: Sudan’s army says it repelled an RSF and SPLM-N assault in Sali, capturing 15 vehicles and destroying five. Fighting has intensified as the war spreads across the state. US Protections: About 1,800 Sudanese in the United States retain temporary protected status and work authorization after the protections were set to expire, but Washington has given no timeline for a final decision.

Drone Escalation: More than 160 people were reported killed in recent drone attacks across Sudan, including a strike near a West Kordofan market that killed dozens. In Khartoum, four people—including three young children—died near the airport. The UN condemned attacks on civilians and urged the warring sides to return to negotiations. Peace Efforts: Sudan’s army chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan has reaffirmed his commitment to US-led peace efforts, as Washington presses for a truce amid famine risks and growing civilian casualties. Border Tensions: Survivors of an airstrike on Sudanese gold miners near Egypt are returning to the dangerous mining area, despite rights groups’ accusations that Egypt’s military killed at least 72 people. Cairo said it targeted illegal mining within its territory; the incident adds to strain over the border and Sudan’s gold trade. US Protections: Washington has temporarily kept deportation protections in place for about 1,800 Sudanese nationals, but has not said when it will make a final decision.