AGP Executive Report

Sudan War: Rights groups and witnesses say RSF drone strikes hit El-Obeid in North Kordofan for a second straight day, killing at least 23 civilians and wounding dozens, with reports of strikes on homes, a funeral gathering, and a truck carrying food supplies. Northern Ireland Unrest (Sudan link): After a knife attack in Belfast that left victim Stephen Ogilvie with severe injuries, police report arrests and a calmer Thursday evening, but families and minority communities say fear is still high as masked mobs targeted migrants and shared “hit list” addresses online. UK Immigration Politics: The Belfast violence has reignited debate over asylum and the “fast-track” scheme; politicians are calling for deportations and tighter checks, while officials say the unrest was “racist thuggery.” Sudan Accountability & Governance (Nepal): Nepal’s Home Minister Sudan Gurung says a probe will be launched after a death allegedly tied to hospital negligence, while a lawmaker challenges his reinstatement and demands transparency over investigation reports. Anti-Corruption (Nigeria): EFCC arrests an aviation security officer and two others over alleged N4.4bn gold and cash smuggling at Kano airport.

Belfast Unrest & Asylum Politics: A Sudanese man, Hadi Alodid, charged with attempted murder after a knife attack appeared in court as Northern Ireland braced for more violence; police arrested 16 people and reported 12 officers injured, while ministers condemned the riots as “racist thuggery” and warned of action against those fuelling division. Common Travel Area & UK Enforcement: The UK government says it will expand intelligence-led checks along Common Travel Area routes and boost immigration enforcement resources, as officials link the unrest to online misinformation and asylum vetting debates. Media Under Threat: The NUJ condemned intimidation and attacks on journalists covering Belfast, including an incident where a BBC vehicle was targeted. Sudan War Update: Drone strikes in central Sudan’s el-Obeid killed up to 23 people, with rights groups blaming the RSF, as fighting intensifies across Kordofan. Regional Flashpoint: Ethiopia warned Tigrayan forces are preparing an offensive against the federal government, raising fears of renewed war. Refugee Education in Chad: Chad is integrating refugee students into the national school system, supported by UNHCR and the World Bank, aiming to move away from parallel education.

Belfast Security & Justice: A 30-year-old Sudanese man, Hadi Alodid, was charged with attempted murder after a knife attack left Stephen Ogilvie partially blinded, triggering two nights of anti-immigrant violence across Northern Ireland. Police say masked rioters targeted ethnic minorities and foreign residents, with homes and vehicles torched and clashes continuing as water cannon and armored units were deployed; Hilary Benn called it “racist thuggery,” while Ogilvie’s family urged calm and warned against spreading false claims online. Online Incitement & Governance: Officials and police pointed to online coordination, including circulated lists of addresses, as the unrest spread and businesses shut early. Regional Displacement Context: Separately, UNHCR reported forced displacement fell to 117.8 million in 2025 for the first time in a decade, but warned returns often happen under pressure and insecurity—an important backdrop to the politics of asylum and public order.

Belfast Unrest After Sudanese Suspect’s Court Appearance: A 30-year-old Sudanese man, Hadi Alodid, appeared in Belfast Magistrates’ Court charged with attempted murder after a knife attack left victim Stephen Ogilvie with a lost left eye and serious injuries; the case triggered overnight anti-immigrant violence across Northern Ireland, with masked protesters torching homes and vehicles and forcing families to flee. Calls for Calm and Accountability: Ogilvie’s family urged people to stop “fueling hostility” and warned against disinformation, while UK PM Keir Starmer said rioters would face the “full force of the law.” Second Night Crackdown: Authorities braced for more disorder as police deployed water cannons and increased patrols, including around hotels housing asylum seekers, while schools and businesses shuttered early. Online Incitement Under Scrutiny: Ofcom reminded platforms of duties under the Online Safety Act after hate and riot-fueling content spread online, with officials warning that social media helped inflame tensions. Sudan Policy Angle in US Congress: Separately, US lawmakers advanced bipartisan measures to increase support for Sudan amid the ongoing civil war and humanitarian crisis, including possible terrorist-designation review for armed actors.

Belfast Court & Justice: Hadi Alodid, a 30-year-old Sudanese man, appeared in Belfast Magistrates’ Court charged with attempted murder after a knife attack left victim Stephen Ogilvie with catastrophic injuries, including the loss of his left eye. Anti-Immigrant Violence: The charge triggered violent anti-immigration protests across Belfast and beyond, with mobs torching homes, cars and a bus and forcing residents to flee, while leaders condemned the attacks as racist and “unacceptable.” Political Response: UK PM Keir Starmer vowed rioters would face the “full force of the law,” and Northern Ireland First Minister Michelle O’Neill called the arson “disgusting cowardice,” as Scotland’s John Swinney urged people to stand against racism and intimidation. Social Media Blame: Labour chair Anna Turley accused social media platforms and Elon Musk of fuelling unrest after online calls and protest-location lists circulated. Sudan Accountability Abroad: In Kenya, victims of alleged Sudan war crimes asked prosecutors to investigate Rapid Support Forces members over torture and sexual violence, seeking charges outside Sudan.

Belfast Unrest: A Sudanese man was charged with attempted murder after a knife attack in north Belfast left a man in his 40s with serious injuries to his eyes, face, neck and back; police say the incident is not being treated as terrorism. Anti-Immigration Protests: Hours later, hundreds of masked protesters turned violent across Belfast and beyond, torching a Glider bus, cars and bins, blocking roads, and forcing evacuations as fires spread. Political Pressure: UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Northern Ireland leaders urged calm, while officials warned against social media-fueled agitation. Sudan Accountability Abroad: In a separate development, Legal Action Worldwide filed the first war crimes complaint against Sudan’s RSF in Kenya, alleging torture, rape and sexual slavery around Khartoum. Regional Diplomacy: Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the UAE discussed Gaza and Iran, and reiterated support for Sudan’s unity and a political settlement.

Sudan Peace Diplomacy: The US and a broad coalition of partners backed a Sudanese-led civilian political dialogue in Addis Ababa, warning there is “no military solution” and urging an inclusive transition under the AU-backed quintet. Regional Backing: The UAE welcomed the Sudan joint statement calling for a comprehensive, civilian-led process, support for a humanitarian truce, and steps toward an inclusive preparatory committee. Civilian Harm From War: A UN-linked report says drone strikes are driving a sharp rise in civilian deaths in Sudan, with attacks concentrated in Darfur and Kordofan. Darfur Displacement: In South Darfur, renewed clashes between Beni Halba and Salamat tribes displaced more than 13,000 people in days, according to IOM. Security and Humanitarian Aid: The US approved $240m in humanitarian assistance via Catholic Relief Services, including support for Sudan amid ongoing crises. Ebola Spillover Watch: WHO criticized travel restrictions tied to Ebola outbreaks in the region, saying they are unnecessary and harmful to public health efforts.

Sudan Peace Talks: Western powers and regional blocs backed a civilian-led roadmap for Sudan, endorsing a process under an AU-backed quintet and calling for a humanitarian truce that leads to a permanent ceasefire, with consultations in Addis Ababa (June 3–5) aimed at setting up an inclusive Sudanese-Sudanese dialogue. UAE Diplomacy: The UAE welcomed the joint statement on Sudan, reaffirming support for a comprehensive civilian political solution, backing the five-party mechanism, and stressing protection of civilians plus unhindered humanitarian aid. Civilian Toll in War: A drone strike hit a central Sudan market in North Kordofan, killing 11 civilians and wounding dozens, as aerial attacks intensify across the conflict zone. Darfur Displacement: More than 13,000 people were displaced in South Darfur in a week amid renewed clashes between the Beni Halba and Salamat tribes, according to IOM figures. Humanitarian Logistics: The ICRC announced a new air link to Port Sudan–Khartoum to speed up specialized support, urging all sides to facilitate safe humanitarian access. Security & Governance: Sudan introduced measures to regulate traditional mining, curb gold and drug smuggling, and reduce harmful chemical use tied to unregulated extraction.

Sudan Peace Talks: A new civilian-led roadmap launched in Nairobi aims to restart Sudan’s stalled transition with a three-track plan: humanitarian steps, a renewable internationally monitored ceasefire, and political reform—while proposing exclusion of SAF and RSF leaders from politics and security-sector reform and barring Islamist figures tied to the former NCP. Traditional Mining Crackdown: Khartoum announced measures to regulate traditional gold mining, remove mills and basins from residential and military areas, and curb gold and drug smuggling, after reports of deaths linked to mining chemicals like cyanide; the plan includes awareness campaigns and mandatory ID cards for miners. Drone War in Kordofan: Rights group Emergency Lawyers reported at least 11 civilians killed and dozens wounded in a drone strike on the main market in Abu Zaeima, North Kordofan, with additional attacks on nearby villages and a fuel station raising the weekend toll. Regional Governance Context: UN spokesman Stephane Dujarric highlighted how international law is repeatedly ignored during crises, including Sudan, as the world body faces mounting pressure.

Drone Attacks on Civilians: A rights group reports a drone strike hit the main market in Abu Zaeima (Hamrat al Sheikh) in Sudan’s North Kordofan, killing at least 11 and wounding dozens; the attack followed earlier strikes on nearby villages and a civilian vehicle, with no side claiming responsibility. Humanitarian Pressure: The same reporting highlights how drone warfare is intensifying across Sudan, feeding displacement and hunger in a war now in its fourth year. Diplomatic Positioning: Sudan’s foreign ministry condemned Iranian attacks on Kuwait and Bahrain as violations of sovereignty and called for de-escalation and respect for international law. Peace Talks Rejection: The Ta’sis (Sudan Founding Alliance) says it rejects any Sudan settlement outside established international frameworks, demands a three-month humanitarian truce via the Jeddah platform, and insists on a veto against the Islamic Movement and the National Congress Party in future arrangements. Accountability & Governance: Separately, Sudan Gurung’s probe in Nepal is discussed as a potential return-to-office scenario after a committee report reaches the prime minister’s office.

Drone Attack in North Kordofan: A drone strike hit the Abu Zaeima market in Hamrat al Sheij, North Kordofan, killing at least 11 civilians and injuring dozens, according to Emergency Lawyers; the attack followed earlier strikes in the same area and comes amid intensified aerial warfare. Army Welcomes RSF Defectors: Sudan’s army says it has received RSF defectors as a “strategic victory,” with commanders pledging to the army and Al-Burhan reiterating an open-door policy for fighters who lay down arms. Peace Talks, Exclusion Fight: The Ta’sis (Sudan Founding Alliance) rejects any Sudan settlement outside established international frameworks, demands a three-month humanitarian truce via the Jeddah platform, and insists on a veto against the Islamic Movement and the National Congress Party. Humanitarian Funding Push: The U.S. State Department announced $240m for Catholic Relief Services, including support for Sudan, aiming to speed up multi-sector emergency aid. Hunger Warning: WFP warns the Iran conflict is worsening food insecurity and notes Sudan among other hotspots facing deteriorating conditions and funding shortfalls. Ebola Update in India: Two Sudanese suspected Ebola cases at Hyderabad’s Gandhi Hospital tested negative, easing immediate public health concerns. Regional Security Narrative: Xinhua reports Gulf Arab states’ confidence in U.S. security commitments is eroding after U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran and retaliatory attacks affecting shipping and markets.

Sudan Peace Talks: Sudanese political and civil forces from rival camps agreed on a shared vision to end the war and set up a path toward democratic civilian rule, handing the draft to the international “quintet” mechanism (AU, Arab League, EU, UN, IGAD). Civilian Harm in Kordofan: A drone strike hit a main market in Abu Zaeima, North Kordofan, killing at least 11 and wounding dozens, with rights groups calling for an end to repeated attacks on civilians. Army-Defector Rift: The Sudanese army welcomed RSF defectors as a “strategic victory,” a move that could deepen divisions among those who lost relatives to RSF violence. Humanitarian/Health: In Hyderabad, two Sudanese Ebola-suspected patients tested negative at Gandhi Hospital, easing fears as isolation protocols continue. Higher Education Control: Sudan’s Ministry of Higher Education ordered universities to return to their original licensed campuses by Aug. 1 or lose intake rights for 2026–2027. International Support: The U.S. approved $240m for Catholic Relief Services, including aid for Sudan. UN Recognition: Six Bangladeshi UNISFA peacekeepers killed in a Sudan drone strike were posthumously awarded the Dag Hammarskjöld Medal.

Sudan Peace Talks: Rival Sudanese political and civil forces say they’ve agreed on a shared vision for ending the war and enabling a democratic civilian transition, handing a draft to the international “quintet” (AU, Arab League, EU, UN, IGAD) after talks stalled. Civilian Transition Roadmap: The statement frames the process as Sudanese-owned and aimed at preserving unity, sovereignty, and national institutions. Regional Diplomacy: Egypt and Germany held high-level consultations on African affairs and Sudan, stressing security plus development as the route to durable stability. Sudan’s Higher Education: Sudan’s Ministry of Higher Education ordered universities to return to their original licensed campuses by August 1 or lose intake rights for 2026–2027, targeting off-campus learning set up during the war. Ebola Scare Abroad: In India, suspected Ebola cases involving Sudanese nationals at Hyderabad’s Gandhi Hospital tested negative, with monitoring and further tests continuing.

Sudan Diplomacy: Egypt’s FM Badr Abdelatty held calls with Qatar and Saudi counterparts, urging a humanitarian truce first and a Sudanese-led political process, while stressing unity, sovereignty, and rejecting “parallel entities.” War and Accountability: A Sudanese army war-crimes case is pushed in international forums, with rights groups alleging systematic attacks on civilians and violations of humanitarian law. Humanitarian Crisis (Darfur/Border): MSF says drone attacks along Sudan’s Chad border have surged since May, treating 116 wounded in five weeks, including a deadly May 24 strike on a market cafeteria in Tina. South Kordofan Violence: Renewed fighting between SPLM-N and Atoro forces has displaced thousands, with reports of destroyed villages and looting. Ebola Scare in India (Sudanese link): Telangana health authorities reported suspected Ebola cases involving Sudanese travellers at Hyderabad’s Gandhi Hospital; one case later tested negative, while others remain under observation and testing. Regional Security Tensions: In South Darfur, a fresh drone strike on Kubum killed at least nine civilians as rights groups warn of rising intertribal tensions. Probe Update (Non-Sudan Politics, but named Sudan): Nepal’s committee investigating former home minister Sudan Gurung submitted a report to the PM—separate from Sudan’s war, but notable for governance and legal process.

Sudan War & Governance: A probe committee in Nepal investigating allegations against former Sudan Gurung has submitted its report to Prime Minister Balendra Shah, following a May 11 Cabinet decision—raising questions about political accountability and asset disclosures. Humanitarian Crisis: The Norwegian Refugee Council says Sudan and the DRC top the world’s most neglected displacement crises, warning that funding cuts are leaving millions without support as violence drives hunger and displacement. Border Violence & Health Impact: Médecins Sans Frontières reports intensifying drone strikes near the Chad-Sudan border, treating 116 wounded in Tina since May began, with women and children increasingly among casualties. Public Health Watch: Two suspected Ebola-related cases involving Sudanese travellers were isolated in Hyderabad after screening at Rajiv Gandhi International Airport, with officials stressing infection not yet confirmed. Regional Diplomacy: Egypt and Japan held strategic talks that included Sudan, with Cairo reiterating support for a comprehensive ceasefire and political settlement.

Sudan Peace Process Under Strain: Consultative talks in Addis Ababa (June 3–5) under the “Quintet mechanism” aim to restart a political track for ending Sudan’s war, but analysts say exclusion, weak legitimacy, and repeated failed formats make real progress unlikely. War Crimes and Accountability: New reporting highlights how sexual violence is being used as a weapon in Sudan’s conflict, with women describing abduction, rape, and ransom demands, while survivors struggle to seek justice. Militarization of Politics: A new look at the RSF traces how the Rapid Support Forces evolved from the Janjaweed era into a powerful political actor—raising questions about whether its influence can be reshaped. Humanitarian Pressure: The Norwegian Refugee Council again flags Sudan as the world’s most neglected displacement crisis, citing massive internal displacement, hunger, and sharply reduced funding. Regional Spillover: A Sudan-linked Ebola scare in India triggered isolation and testing protocols for a feverish traveler, underscoring how Sudan’s instability continues to affect public health planning beyond its borders.